It’s been just over
a week since Detroit filed for the largest municipal bankruptcy in U.S.
history and, so far, there are more questions than answers about how
this will all shake out. On Wednesday, a U.S. Bankruptcy judge ruled
Detroit’s Chapter 9 filing can proceed but local unions, pension funds
and other creditors will continue to try and stop the process.
Regardless of how the legal proceedings unfold, Meredith Whitney
thinks she knows what will happen as a result of Detroit’s bankruptcy
filing: “staggering aftershocks” for the muni bond market and “important
precedents” for other state and local governments.
“We know [Detroit’s bankruptcy] is a game-changing event for certain,” says Whitney, author of Fate of the States
and founder of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group LLC. “It will galvanize
other municipalities to either get their act together or follow
Detroit’s lead.”
Asked what other municipalities might follow Detroit’s lead into
bankruptcy, Whitney cited the five other Michigan cities currently under
emergency management: Flint, Pontiac, Ecorse, Allen Park and Benton
Harbor. She also reiterated her concerns about the states of New Jersey
and Illinois.
Related: Bernanke Costs Illinois $130M: ‘Blue States’ in Peril, Meredith Whitney Says
The Wall Street Journal
recently cited Oakland, Philadelphia and Chicago as other big cities
with the potential to follow Detroit’s lead but Whitney declined to
mention other cities.
“I’m not sure it’s constructive to name towns [and] sound the alarm,”
she said. “But there are numerous others across the country. Detroit is
hardly unique.”
Of course, Whitney gained increased attention – and considerable criticism – when she sounded the alarm on 60 Minutes
in late 2010. At that time, she predicted “a sp
ate of municipal bond
defaults. You could see 50 sizeable defaults. Fifty to 100 sizeable
defaults. More. This will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars'
worth of defaults."
Nothing close to that level of muni bankruptcies has occurred, to date, but ask yourself: Was Whitney 'dead wrong' on 60 Minutes, as her critics continue to claim, or just early?
And check the accompanying video
to hear specifics on why Whitney believes Detroit’s bankruptcy is such a
“game changing event” and whether she believes the city of Detroit can
be 'restructured' via bankruptcy as were automakers GM and Chrysler.
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